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Study: Excess Mortality Caused by Vaccines & Estimated 17 Million Vaccine Deaths

In case one hasn’t already noticed or finds it too daunting a task to look up excess mortality data, fret not. A report published on 17 September 2023 titled “COVID-19 vaccine-associated mortality in the Southern Hemisphere” by D.G. Rancourt et al conveniently lays it out.


The entire report is 180 pages but, whilst having a lot of content, is not a long read. The main text is about 130 pages long, much of which are figures (graphs). This is followed by about 20 pages of references and the remaining 30 pages are appendices.


The study analyzes all-cause mortality (ACM) data for 17 countries from 2015 to 2023: Argentina, Australia, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Malaysia, New Zealand, Paraguay, Peru, Philippines, Singapore, South Africa, Suriname, Thailand and Uruguay.


In short: “COVID-19 vaccines can cause death” and “[c]ausality in excess mortality is amply demonstrated”.


Table 1: Total excess mortalities in the COVID and vaccination periods, number of injections in the vaccination period, population.
Table 1: Total excess mortalities in the COVID and vaccination periods, number of injections in the vaccination period, population.
Figure 2: Transitions between regimes of mortality ― ACM for Argentina, Australia and Bolivia. The 11 March 2020 pandemic declaration date is shown by a vertical grey line in each panel.
Figure 2: Transitions between regimes of mortality ― ACM for Argentina, Australia and Bolivia. The 11 March 2020 pandemic declaration date is shown by a vertical grey line in each panel.

Section 6.5 “Causality in excess mortality is amply demonstrated” is a good summary of the observations. The first 8 of the 12 points are reproduced below:

i. There is no evidence in ACM-by-time data of any beneficial effect of COVID-19 vaccines. There is no association in time between COVID-19 vaccination and any proportionate reduction in ACM.
ii. On the contrary, there occurs an onset or increase of a large excess ACM on rolling out the COVID-19 vaccines, in every country and state or province, studied to date, on virtually all continents, including for initial rollouts occurring at significantly different times (by several months).
iii. The said onset manifests itself as a new sustained regime of high excess ACM — punctuated by additional peaks in ACM associated with specific rapid rollouts (boosters) — which surges at the start of vaccination, irrespective of whether or not there was excess mortality prior to vaccination.
iv. In many jurisdictions (including each state in Australia), there is no detectable excess ACM until the vaccines are rolled out, when new regimes of high excess ACM are initiated.
v. In all studied cases in which available ACM and vaccine rollout data is resolved by age (Israel, Chile, Peru), there is synchronicity between every booster rollout and a sharp peak or feature in ACM, in every elderly age group (> 60 years ages), which is some 30 separate events of synchronicity, at different times in seasonal patterns, in both hemispheres.
vi. With ACM and vaccination data that is not resolved by age, there are nonetheless several examples of synchronicity between a burst of vaccination and an anomalous peak in ACM, especially the nominally January-February 2022 peak in ACM, in all 15 countries having sufficient ACM data in the present study, and in 5 of the 8 states of Australia (Rancourt et al., 2022a).
vii. There is observed proportionality (not mere correlation) between number of COVID-19 vaccine injections (all ages) and temporally associated all-ages excess ACM, whether one uses specific peaks in ACM or the nominally entire vaccination period. This is shown in Figure 8.
viii. The corresponding all-ages toxicities (vDFR, excess-ACM/number-vaccine-injections) for specific ACM peaks and for the vaccination period are proportional to each other, irrespective of the country-to-country differences in their values. This is shown in Figure 9.

Section 6.6 “Assessing other interpretations of the cause of the excess mortality” is worth reading as it addresses arguments against vaccines as the cause of excess mortality. In short, “seasonal peaks” such as summer heat waves or earthquakes are narrower than what is observed.


The authors also estimate deaths due to COVID-19 vaccines:

Therefore, the total number of deaths inferred in the present study of 17 equatorial and Southern-Hemisphere countries to have been caused by the COVID-19 vaccine injections is 1,745,000 ± 49,000, for a total of 1,388,145,365 injections over the same nominally entire vaccination periods of the 17 countries, compared to the overall Covid-period excess mortality of 2,393,000 ± 88,000 (Table 1).
Previously, we estimated that a representative global value would be 0.1 %, and that this would represent approximately 13 million deaths from the COVID-19 vaccines, from 13.25 billion injections up to 24 January 2023 (Rancourt et al., 2023). This can be updated as follows: (0.1257 ± 0.0035) % x 13.50 billion injections (2 September 2023, OWID, 2023a) = (16.97 ± 0.47) million COVID-19 vaccine deaths worldwide, to date. This current estimate is based on: 10.3 % of worldwide COVID-19 injections, 9.10 % of worldwide population, and a vaccination rate of 1.91 injections per person (all ages), in 17 countries. This implies that 17.0 ± 0.5 million COVID-19 vaccine deaths would have occurred globally, up to 2 September 2023.
 

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