Baltic Dry Index at a Relative Low

One of the reasons I mostly do not write about economics is that the current debt-based financial system driven by the fractional reserve is ipso facto designed to fail. So, of course, it goes bad despite temporary improvements. The bad guys want it to fail on their terms to gain (more) control but, given the current circumstances, it looks like the good guys also want it to fail by degrees (and on their terms) in order to eventually get rid of it.


Either way, it is safe to say that one needs to prepare for the situation to deteriorate.


There is no need to repeat the economic analyses and forecasts that are floating out there but I will make an observation that is sometimes overlooked. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) tracks the shipping cost of dry commodities—that is, the transportation of materials rather than its trade and use in production. But since the transportation of materials is a form of real activity that is supposed to lead to more real activity, it is nonetheless a highly generalized indicator.


One can see that the BDI is currently at a low so far this year. The point is that the current economic troubles are not merely due to artificial manipulations of numbers on a screen (which can still cause real trouble such as a war) but that real activity is at a relative low. And bad economic status, even if not initially intended as a step toward war, can still lead to war.

BDI: YTD – 9 September 2022 (Trading Economics, tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic)
BDI: YTD – 9 September 2022 (Trading Economics, tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic)

If one looks further back, there were relative lows in late 2008, 2012, early 2016 (historic low), early 2019 and early 2020. Those who commented on the possibility of war during those periods weren’t necessarily alarmists or “conspiracy theorists”. As for now, given that Russia and Ukraine are actually shooting at each other with the psychopaths of the West trying to escalate and that BRICS is bypassing the petrodollar (as originally intended), there is even less reason to dismiss the possibility of a bigger war.

BDI: ~2000 – 9 September 2022 (Trading Economics, tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic)
BDI: ~2000 – 9 September 2022 (Trading Economics, tradingeconomics.com/commodity/baltic)

And by the way, let’s not forget that Francis issued a rescript to transfer church financial assets and liquid assets back to the IOR (Vatican Bank) by the end of September. Whether this move is voluntary preparation and/or pressure from the good guys both indicate more upcoming economic decline or even some sort of collapse.

 

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